FPM

7 min read · Updated June 29, 2026

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Catie Di Stefano, Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Reviewed by
Catie Di StefanoFounder & Editor-in-Chief
Short answer: Polymarket has the deepest global liquidity and zero fees. Kalshi is the only CFTC-regulated U.S. option. Pick by where you live and what you trade.

Key takeaways

  • Polymarket is the largest prediction market globally — politics, crypto, World Cup.
  • No platform fee on Polymarket; Kalshi charges a small per-contract fee.
  • Polymarket settles in USDC on Polygon; Kalshi settles in USD.
  • Kalshi is openly available to U.S. residents; Polymarket is restricted.
  • Both have strong payout track records.

Why Polymarket leads on volume

Polymarket has scaled into the default global prediction market. Its USDC settlement, non-custodial design, and no-fee model attract pro traders who push size — and that liquidity attracts everyone else. As of June 2026, Polymarket's top World Cup winner markets each carry tens of millions in 24-hour volume.

Quick-glance table

PolymarketKalshi
Total volume rank#1 globally#1 U.S.-regulated
Fees0% platform~1–7% scaled
SettlementUSDC, on-chainUSD, custodial
U.S. residentsRestrictedOpen in all 50
Top categoriesPolitics, World Cup, crypto, cultureFed/CPI, weather, sports

When Kalshi is the better choice

If you live in the U.S. and want frictionless USD deposits, automatic 1099 tax reporting, and access from any state — Kalshi wins. It's also the only platform where U.S. residents can legally trade CFTC-approved sports event contracts.

When Polymarket wins outright

Outside the U.S., or if you already hold USDC, Polymarket gives you the deepest book on politics, the World Cup, crypto price markets, and culture (Oscars, Grammys, who-will-replace-X). Pros stack size there because the fee drag is zero.

Scoring rubric — Polymarket vs Kalshi

Both scored on our public six-criteria methodology.

CriterionWeightPolymarketKalshi
Regulatory clarity30%3.55.0
Liquidity & depth20%5.04.0
Florida availability15%2.55.0
Fees & payout15%5.04.0
UX & reliability10%4.04.5
Editorial trust10%4.04.5
Composite100%4.0 / 54.5 / 5

Florida angle

Polymarket restricts U.S. residents in its terms, which makes it a non-starter as a Florida primary account. FL traders default to Kalshi and use Polymarket, if at all, as a secondary venue for arbitrage where the book is meaningfully deeper (World Cup winner, presidential markets, culture).

Florida's regulated sportsbook — Hard Rock Bet — is a separate product entirely: state-licensed sports wagering under the FL gaming compact. Kalshi and Polymarket are federal-commodities event contracts, not sportsbook wagers, and don't conflict with a Hard Rock Bet account.

Start trading in 2 minutes

Both platforms are free to sign up. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated USD. Polymarket settles in USDC.

Play responsibly

Prediction markets are real-money trading and you can lose your full stake. We recommend 21+. If trading stops feeling fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER or text 988.

Reviewed by Catie Di Stefano. Every guide follows our editorial standards & review methodology. Affiliate links are disclosed under our affiliate disclosure.

Related reading

Polymarket vs Kalshi — FAQ

Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.

Yes by total volume — Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market and consistently leads on politics, crypto, and global sports. Kalshi is larger in U.S. economics and weather contracts.

Start trading on Kalshi