FPM

Florida weather markets

Trade hurricanes & Florida weather

Florida sees more hurricane landfalls than any other state — and Kalshi runs the largest U.S. market on whether the next storm hits. Live odds on landfall, season severity, and Miami temperatures.

Key takeaways

  • Kalshi is the primary U.S. venue for regulated hurricane contracts.
  • Atlantic season runs June 1 – November 30; peak is Aug–Oct.
  • Markets settle on official NOAA / NHC data.
  • Daily temperature and rainfall markets are available for Miami.

Where to trade weather

The platforms below are ranked by liquidity, regulatory clarity, and weather coverage for Florida users.

Editor's Pick

Kalshi

CFTC-regulated event trading

The first U.S. federally regulated prediction market. Trade real-money contracts on elections, weather, economics, and sports.

  • CFTC-regulated (legal nationwide)
  • Real USD payouts
  • Strong on weather & politics
  • Available in Florida
Sign up on Kalshi

Regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. 18+. #sponsored

Polymarket

The world's largest prediction market

Deep liquidity across politics, crypto, sports, and culture. Trade with stablecoin (USDC) on the largest event-trading exchange.

  • Largest market depth globally
  • USDC stablecoin settlement
  • Politics & crypto focus
  • Self-custodial
Sign up on Polymarket

Verify eligibility for your location. 18+. #sponsored

Rebet

Social prediction & sweepstakes

Social-first sweepstakes platform with peer-to-peer sports predictions. A lighter on-ramp for first-time players.

  • Sweepstakes model
  • Sports & entertainment focus
  • Social/peer-to-peer
  • Mobile-first
Sign up on Rebet

Sweepstakes model. Eligibility rules apply. 21+. #sponsored

Trade hurricanes & Florida weather FAQ

Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.

Yes. Kalshi runs active markets every Atlantic hurricane season on named-storm counts, major-hurricane landfalls, and specific U.S. state landfalls including Florida. These are among the most-traded weather contracts in the U.S.

Start trading on Kalshi