Florida prediction markets, made clearer.

Trade what happens next in the Sunshine State. Live odds on hurricanes, elections, the Dolphins and everything in between, on the CFTC-regulated apps Floridians can use: Kalshi, Polymarket US, OG, ProphetX and more.

Claim the $25 bonus Compare the apps

Polymarket US: Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus! · code FLPREDICTS · 21+ · Terms apply

We earn commissions when you sign up through our links; this never affects which platforms we cover or how we rank them.

21+ · Not financial advice · #sponsored links

Are prediction markets legal in Florida?

Eligible Florida residents can trade prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket US (both CFTC-regulated), among other apps. Polymarket US offers sports, politics and culture markets in US dollars, and new users who deposit $10 get a $25 trading bonus with code FLPREDICTS. Prices on this page refresh every 60 seconds.

Kalshi's status in Florida: Available (as of October 16, 2026). Details, court rulings and the change-log: Is Kalshi legal in Florida?

How it works in 3 steps

Choose an event
Compare YES and NO prices
Decide whether to trade

Today's Florida markets

Weather

Politics

Sports

Current offers

We earn commissions when you sign up through our links; this never affects which platforms we cover or how we rank them.

Polymarket US

Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!

Code FLPREDICTS · 49 states + D.C.
Claim on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)
21+ · New users · Terms apply

Terms and eligibility
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Kalshi

Trade $25 and Get $25!

Code FLPREDICTS · 47 states + D.C.
Claim on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
21+ · New users · Terms apply

Terms and eligibility
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
OG

Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! (New users only)

Code FLPREDICTS · 42 states + D.C.
Claim on OG (opens in a new tab)
At OG's code box, type FLPREDICTS: the box isn't filled in automatically.

21+ · New users · Terms apply

Terms and eligibility
Paid partnership with OG. Terms and conditions apply. Trading derivatives involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Availability subject to jurisdictional limitations. For more information, visit: OG.com.
ProphetX

Trade $50, Earn $75!

Code FLPREDICTS · 49 states + D.C.
Claim on ProphetX (opens in a new tab)
21+ · New users · Terms apply

Terms and eligibility
New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk.
Novig

Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits!

Code FLPREDICTS · 47 states + D.C.
Claim on Novig (opens in a new tab)
21+ · New users · Terms apply

Terms and eligibility
Restrictions & requirements apply. Not available in all states. 21+. Event contract trading involves risk & is not appropriate for all. Consider if it's appropriate for you in light of financial circumstances. See novig.com/terms for information.
Rebet

Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!

Code FLPREDICTS · 38 states + D.C.
Claim on Rebet (opens in a new tab)
21+ · New users · Terms apply

Terms and eligibility
Rebet is a social sweepstakes platform. No purchase necessary. Eligibility and age requirements apply; not available in all states. Void where prohibited. See Rebet's Sweepstakes Rules for details.

Prediction markets involve real money and real risk. Play responsibly · 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Florida promo codes

One code, FLPREDICTS, for every welcome offer. Step-by-step guides:

4 platforms · 1 Florida home

Where Floridians trade

We rank platforms by what matters in Florida: legal clarity, USD payouts, hurricane and election markets, and sports coverage for the Dolphins, Heat, Buccaneers and Marlins.

Editor's Pick

Polymarket

CFTC-regulated US app · deposit $10, get $25

A global prediction market, now live in the U.S. as a CFTC-regulated exchange. Trade politics, sports, crypto and culture in dollars from the app — new users deposit $10 and get a $25 trading bonus with code FLPREDICTS.
- Deposit $10, get a $25 trading bonus (code FLPREDICTS)
- CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization
- Deepest liquidity in prediction markets worldwide
- Available in eligible states
Claim $25 bonus (opens in a new tab)
Terms and eligibility
18+. Polymarket US is CFTC-regulated. Trading is risky; 100% loss can occur. #sponsored
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Trade $25, get $25

Kalshi

A CFTC-designated exchange since November 2020.

Trade real-money event contracts on elections, weather, economics and sports — new users trade $25 and get $25 with code FLPREDICTS.
- Trade $25, get $25 (code FLPREDICTS, new users)
- CFTC-regulated exchange, real USD payouts
- Strong on weather, hurricanes & economics
- Web and mobile — available to eligible Florida users
Trade $25, get $25 (opens in a new tab)
Terms and eligibility
New users only. 18+. Regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Event contract trading involves significant risk. #sponsored
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Trade $50, get $75

ProphetX

Sports prediction market · Trade $50, Get $75

A CFTC-licensed sports prediction market operating in 49 states plus D.C., with live contracts on football, basketball, baseball, hockey, soccer and other sports. New users can trade $50 and get $75 with code FLPREDICTS, subject to the current offer terms.
- Trade $50, get $75 with code FLPREDICTS
- CFTC-licensed prediction market operating in 49 states plus D.C.
- Sports contracts across major leagues and events
- Available in listed eligible states; verify your account before trading
Trade $50, get $75 (opens in a new tab)
Terms and eligibility
New users only. 18+. Trading involves significant risk. Offer terms apply. #sponsored
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at ProphetX. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. ProphetX products are not available in all jurisdictions. See ProphetX terms for more information.
Rebet

Social sports predictions · ranked #4

A social-first platform for peer-to-peer sports predictions and casual play. It remains a lighter on-ramp for first-time players, but ranks below the regulated exchanges and ProphetX on our site.
- Social, peer-to-peer sports predictions
- Sports and entertainment focus
- Mobile-first experience
- Ranked #4 on our current comparison
Sign up on Rebet (opens in a new tab)
Terms and eligibility
Eligibility rules apply. 21+. Review the platform's current terms before participating. #sponsored

Florida market categories

Sports

Dolphins, Heat, Bucs, Marlins, college football & more.
Politics

FL governor races, presidential primaries, ballot measures.
Weather

Hurricane landfall, named storms, Atlantic season odds.
Entertainment

Oscars, Grammys, Florida film festivals.

Soon

Florida deep dives

Start here

Sources

Common questions

Are prediction markets legal in Florida?

Eligible Florida residents can use CFTC-regulated Kalshi event contracts and the Polymarket US app under each platform's current rules. Confirm state, account and product eligibility before depositing. Federal appeals courts are split, at the preliminary stage, on whether state gambling laws can apply to sports event contracts (the Third Circuit sided with Kalshi in April 2026; the Ninth and Sixth Circuits sided with the states in August and September 2026). None of those rulings covers Florida, the state has not acted against the platforms, and petitions asking the Supreme Court to decide are pending. See our Kalshi legality guide for details.

What's the best prediction market app for Floridians?

Kalshi and Polymarket US both serve eligible Florida users. Kalshi is a US-regulated (CFTC) exchange with weather, sports and economics markets. Polymarket US offers sports, politics and culture markets in US dollars, and new users who deposit $10 get a $25 trading bonus with code FLPREDICTS.

Can I trade Florida hurricane markets?

Yes. Kalshi lists hurricane landfall, named-storm count and Atlantic-season event contracts when available. Check the live market and current Florida eligibility before trading.

Can I trade on the Dolphins, Heat, or Buccaneers?

Yes — sports event contracts may be available on Kalshi and Polymarket US for eligible users, while Rebet offers a peer-to-peer social layer. Check each platform's current market list.

Is it the same as sports betting?

No. Prediction markets are exchange-traded event contracts, not sportsbook wagers. You're trading 'yes' and 'no' shares against other users, with prices that reflect crowd-implied probability.

Do I have to pay taxes on winnings?

Yes. Profits from prediction markets are taxable in the U.S., but the IRS hasn't issued guidance on how event contracts are classified. Kalshi provides a profit-and-loss statement for your trades (its 1099s cover interest, rewards and crypto transfers), so keep your own records and consult a tax professional.

Updated Oct 20, 2026