FPM

Florida politics markets

Trade Florida political outcomes

Governor races, senate seats, presidential primaries, and ballot measures — prediction markets price the probability of every major Florida political event in real time.

Key takeaways

  • Polymarket has the deepest political-market liquidity globally.
  • Kalshi offers CFTC-regulated election contracts with USD settlement.
  • Florida statewide races appear on both platforms during election cycles.
  • Crowd-implied odds historically match or beat poll-based forecasts.

Live politics markets

kalshi

yes Victor Wembanyama: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 2+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 3+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Dylan Harper: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 25+,yes Stephon Castle: 2+,no New York wins by over 10.5 points,yes Victor Wembanyama: 1+

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Nick Kurtz: 1+,yes Christian Yelich: 1+,yes Sal Frelick: 1+,yes Parker Messick: 4+,no Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs,no Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs,no San Francisco wins by over 2.5 runs,no San Diego wins by over 2.5 runs,no Seattle wins by over 2.5 runs,no Arizona wins by over 2.5 runs,no A's wins by over 2.5 runs,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Jalen Brunson: 1+,yes Julian Champagnie: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 1+,yes Jalen Brunson: 20+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Julian Champagnie: 1+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 2+,yes New York,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 2+,yes Stephon Castle: 2+

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Jalen Brunson: 25+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 20+,yes Landry Shamet: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 15+,yes Stephon Castle: 15+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 25+

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Ajla Tomljanovic,yes Marie Bouzkova,yes Katie Boulter,yes Victoria Mboko,yes Amanda Anisimova

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Jalen Brunson: 1+,yes Josh Hart: 1+,yes Landry Shamet: 1+,yes Mikal Bridges: 1+,yes OG Anunoby: 1+,yes Julian Champagnie: 1+,yes Stephon Castle: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 1+,yes Jalen Brunson: 20+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 25+,yes OG Anunoby: 2+,yes Stephon Castle: 1+

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Jalen Brunson: 4+,yes Josh Hart: 4+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 4+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 2+,yes Jalen Brunson: 3+,yes Josh Hart: 6+,yes Mikal Bridges: 2+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 2+

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Jalen Brunson: 1+,yes Landry Shamet: 1+,yes OG Anunoby: 1+,yes Julian Champagnie: 1+,yes Josh Hart: 4+,yes Jalen Brunson: 20+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Dylan Harper: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+,yes Jalen Brunson: 2+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 8+,yes Mitchell Robinson: 2+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 2+,yes Stephon Castle: 2+,yes Toronto

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Jalen Brunson: 1+,yes Landry Shamet: 1+,yes OG Anunoby: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 1+,yes San Antonio,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+,yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes Dylan Harper: 10+,yes Julian Champagnie: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 4+

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,no Over 14.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 7.5 runs scored

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Jalen Brunson: 3+,yes Julian Champagnie: 2+,yes Jalen Brunson: 4+,yes Dylan Harper: 10+,no San Antonio wins by over 4.5 points

50¢YES
kalshi

yes Jalen Brunson: 1+,yes OG Anunoby: 1+,yes Julian Champagnie: 1+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 1+,yes Jalen Brunson: 20+,yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 10+,yes Devin Vassell: 10+,yes Julian Champagnie: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+,yes Over 201.5 points scored

50¢YES

Where to trade politics

The platforms below are ranked by liquidity, regulatory clarity, and politics coverage for Florida users.

Editor's Pick

Kalshi

CFTC-regulated event trading

The first U.S. federally regulated prediction market. Trade real-money contracts on elections, weather, economics, and sports.

  • CFTC-regulated (legal nationwide)
  • Real USD payouts
  • Strong on weather & politics
  • Available in Florida
Sign up on Kalshi

Regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. 18+. #sponsored

Polymarket

The world's largest prediction market

Deep liquidity across politics, crypto, sports, and culture. Trade with stablecoin (USDC) on the largest event-trading exchange.

  • Largest market depth globally
  • USDC stablecoin settlement
  • Politics & crypto focus
  • Self-custodial
Sign up on Polymarket

Verify eligibility for your location. 18+. #sponsored

Rebet

Social prediction & sweepstakes

Social-first sweepstakes platform with peer-to-peer sports predictions. A lighter on-ramp for first-time players.

  • Sweepstakes model
  • Sports & entertainment focus
  • Social/peer-to-peer
  • Mobile-first
Sign up on Rebet

Sweepstakes model. Eligibility rules apply. 21+. #sponsored

Trade Florida political outcomes FAQ

Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.

Yes. Both Kalshi and Polymarket list contracts on major Florida statewide races including governor, senate, and presidential primaries — when they're within their regulated scope.

Start trading on Kalshi