Florida politics · live
Live probabilities on the 2026 Florida governor and senate races, DeSantis 2028 speculation, and Florida ballot measures. Kalshi and Polymarket, side-by-side, polling every 60 seconds.
2026 Election Day countdown
101d 6h to Election Day
Florida Governor · leader
polymarketWill Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Florida Senate · leader
polymarketWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi
No open markets on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate A be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate B be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate C be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate D be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate E be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate F be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate G be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate H be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate I be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate J be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate K be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate L be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate M be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate N be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate O be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Byron Donalds finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Paul Renner finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Jim Holcomb finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Arthur Joseph McCaffrey finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Daniel Nokovich finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Rachel Rodriguez finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will James Walker Shaw finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Caneste Succe finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Bobby Williams finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Candidate A finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Candidate B finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Candidate C finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Candidate D finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Candidate E finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will Candidate F finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will another candidate finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Shevrin Jones be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Jason Pizzo be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Fentrice Driskell be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Daniella Levine Cava be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Gwen Graham be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate A be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate B be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate C be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate D be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate E be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate F be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate G be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate H be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate I be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate J be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate K be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate L be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate M be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate N be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Candidate O be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will another candidate be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option A win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option B win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option C win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option D win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option E win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option F win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option G win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option H win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option I win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Option J win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Other win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will Byron Donalds be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
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Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.
Yes. Kalshi lists CFTC-regulated contracts on Florida statewide races, and Polymarket runs high-liquidity markets on the GOP primary (Donalds, Simpson, and the wider field), the Democratic nominee, and the November 3, 2026 general election.