Live odds · sports
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answer
As of today, "Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open" trades at 44% YES on Polymarket (56% NO), with $19.2M in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open
24h volume
$1.1M
Total volume
$19.2M
Resolves in
9 days
Sep 13, 2026
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open | 44¢ | Trade |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open | 21¢ | Trade |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open | 11¢ | Trade |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open | 8¢ | Trade |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open | 5¢ | Trade |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's US Open | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Valentin Vacherot win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Luciano Darderi win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Arthur Rinderknech win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Tomas Martin Etcheverry win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Zizou Bergs win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Ignacio Buse win the 2026 Men's US Open | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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