Live odds · politics
Berlin State Election Winner
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Quick answer
As of today, "Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections" trades at 67% YES on Polymarket (34% NO), with $4.1M in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections
24h volume
$111K
Total volume
$4.1M
Resolves in
2 days
Sep 20, 2026
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections | 67¢ | Trade |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections | 27¢ | Trade |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections | 6¢ | Trade |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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