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Brazil Presidential Election

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

24h volume

$372K

Total volume

$100.8M

Resolves

Oct 4, 2026

Live odds

OutcomeYESNO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election52¢49¢Trade
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election24¢76¢Trade
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election15¢85¢Trade
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election2¢98¢Trade
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election2¢98¢Trade
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election2¢98¢Trade
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election1¢99¢Trade
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election1¢99¢Trade
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election1¢99¢Trade
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election0¢100¢Trade
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election0¢100¢Trade
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election0¢100¢Trade
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election0¢100¢Trade
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election0¢100¢Trade
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election0¢100¢Trade
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election0¢100¢Trade
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election0¢100¢Trade

Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.

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Brazil Presidential Election — FAQ

Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.

As of the latest update, "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" is trading at 52% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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