Live odds · politics
California Governor Election Winner
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Quick answer
As of today, "Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026" trades at 95% YES on Polymarket (5% NO), with $41.0M in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026
24h volume
$1K
Total volume
$41.0M
Resolves in
2 mo
Nov 3, 2026
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 95¢ | Trade |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 4¢ | Trade |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Welcome offer · Polymarket US
Deposit $10, get a $50 trading bonus
New users: fund at least $10 in the Polymarket US app, enter the code, and get a $50 trading bonus.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Play responsibly
Prediction markets are real-money trading and you can lose your full stake. 21+ recommended. If trading stops feeling fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER or text 988.