Live odds · politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Quick answer
As of today, "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination" trades at 19% YES on Polymarket (81% NO), with $1.28B in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
24h volume
$994K
Total volume
$1.28B
Resolves in
2.1 yr
Nov 7, 2028
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 19¢ | Trade |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 17¢ | Trade |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 16¢ | Trade |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 8¢ | Trade |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 6¢ | Trade |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 5¢ | Trade |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 3¢ | Trade |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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