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Fed Decision in September?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Top outcome

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting

46%YES · 54% NO

24h volume

$240K

Total volume

$4.2M

Resolves in

2 mo

Sep 16, 2026

Share: XReddit

Updated Jul 23

Live odds

OutcomeYES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting46¢Trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting43¢Trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting4¢Trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting2¢Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting1¢Trade

Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.

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Fed Decision in September? — FAQ

Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.

As of the latest update, "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?" is trading at 46% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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