Live odds · entertainment
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Quick answer
As of today, "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026" trades at 94% YES on Polymarket (7% NO), with $17.5M in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026
24h volume
$6K
Total volume
$17.5M
Resolves in
4 mo
Dec 31, 2026
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 94¢ | Trade |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 5¢ | Trade |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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