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Iran leadership change by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

24h volume

$27K

Total volume

$17.7M

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

OutcomeYESNO
Iran leadership change by December 3116¢85¢Trade
Iran leadership change by June 301¢99¢Trade

Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.

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Iran leadership change by...? — FAQ

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As of the latest update, "Iran leadership change by December 31?" is trading at 16% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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