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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Top outcome

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

91%YES · 10% NO

24h volume

$2K

Total volume

$7.8M

Resolves in

5 mo

Dec 31, 2026

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Updated Aug 2

Live odds

OutcomeYES
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 202691¢Trade
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 202673¢Trade
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 202645¢Trade
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 202614¢Trade
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 202612¢Trade
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 20266¢Trade
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 20265¢Trade

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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? — FAQ

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As of the latest update, "Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?" is trading at 91% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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