Live odds · politics
Next French Presidential Election
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Quick answer
As of today, "Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election" trades at 36% YES on Polymarket (64% NO), with $134.5M in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election
24h volume
$718K
Total volume
$134.5M
Resolves in
8 mo
Apr 30, 2027
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election | 36¢ | Trade |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election | 26¢ | Trade |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election | 12¢ | Trade |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election | 7¢ | Trade |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election | 5¢ | Trade |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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