Live odds · other
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Quick answer
As of today, "Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026" trades at 8% YES on Polymarket (93% NO), with $24.1M in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026
24h volume
$111K
Total volume
$24.1M
Resolves in
24 days
Oct 10, 2026
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 8¢ | Trade |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 8¢ | Trade |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 7¢ | Trade |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 5¢ | Trade |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 5¢ | Trade |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 4¢ | Trade |
| Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 3¢ | Trade |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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