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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

24h volume

$77K

Total volume

$20.5M

Resolves

Oct 10, 2026

Live odds

OutcomeYESNO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 202610¢90¢Trade
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20268¢93¢Trade
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20268¢92¢Trade
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20267¢94¢Trade
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20265¢95¢Trade
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20264¢96¢Trade
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20262¢98¢Trade
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20262¢98¢Trade
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20261¢99¢Trade
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20260¢100¢Trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 20260¢100¢Trade

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — FAQ

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As of the latest update, "Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?" is trading at 10% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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