Live odds · politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Quick answer
As of today, "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election" trades at 23% YES on Polymarket (77% NO), with $705.9M in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election
24h volume
$108K
Total volume
$705.9M
Resolves in
2.1 yr
Nov 7, 2028
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 23¢ | Trade |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 13¢ | Trade |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 12¢ | Trade |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 11¢ | Trade |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 8¢ | Trade |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 4¢ | Trade |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 3¢ | Trade |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 3¢ | Trade |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Welcome offer · Polymarket US
Deposit $10, get a $50 trading bonus
New users: fund at least $10 in the Polymarket US app, enter the code, and get a $50 trading bonus.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
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