Live odds · politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Quick answer
As of today, "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination" trades at 51% YES on Polymarket (49% NO), with $704.3M in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination
24h volume
$79K
Total volume
$704.3M
Resolves in
2.1 yr
Nov 7, 2028
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 51¢ | Trade |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 49¢ | Trade |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 16¢ | Trade |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 4¢ | Trade |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Welcome offer · Polymarket US
Deposit $10, get a $50 trading bonus
New users: fund at least $10 in the Polymarket US app, enter the code, and get a $50 trading bonus.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
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