Live odds · politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Quick answer
As of today, "Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election" trades at 75% YES on Polymarket (26% NO), with $29.2M in total volume. Eligible Florida traders can also find related event contracts on Kalshi, which is CFTC-regulated and settles in USD.
Top outcome
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
24h volume
$1.1M
Total volume
$29.2M
Resolves in
4 days
Sep 20, 2026
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election | 75¢ | Trade |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election | 22¢ | Trade |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election | 2¢ | Trade |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election | 1¢ | Trade |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election | 0¢ | Trade |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election | 0¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Polymarket US is our #1 pick for this market when eligible Florida traders want deep books, USD settlement and an advertised $0 platform fee. Kalshi offers web access and a separate $25/$25 new-user offer for eligible users.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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