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Live odds · politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

24h volume

$48K

Total volume

$7.3M

Resolves

Nov 3, 2026

Live odds

OutcomeYESNO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections83¢18¢Trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections18¢83¢Trade

Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.

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Which party will win the House in 2026? — FAQ

Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.

As of the latest update, "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?" is trading at 83% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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