Live odds · crypto
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
24h volume
$45K
Total volume
$4.2M
Resolves
Jan 1, 2027
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | NO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026 | 7¢ | 93¢ | Trade |
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