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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Top outcome

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027

6%YES · 95% NO

24h volume

$13K

Total volume

$63.9M

Resolves in

5 mo

Dec 31, 2026

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Updated Aug 2

Live odds

OutcomeYES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 20276¢Trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 302¢Trade

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? — FAQ

Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.

As of the latest update, "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?" is trading at 6% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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