Live odds · politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Top outcome
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027
24h volume
$752K
Total volume
$52.2M
Resolves in
5 mo
Dec 31, 2026
Live odds
| Outcome | YES | |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027 | 25¢ | Trade |
Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.
Take a position
Kalshi: USD, CFTC-regulated, available in Florida. Polymarket: USDC, deeper liquidity on this kind of market.
Play responsibly
Prediction markets are real-money trading and you can lose your full stake. 21+ recommended. If trading stops feeling fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER or text 988.