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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

24h volume

$138K

Total volume

$37.9M

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

OutcomeYESNO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 202713¢88¢Trade

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — FAQ

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As of the latest update, "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?" is trading at 13% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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