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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

24h volume

$238

Total volume

$7.6M

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

OutcomeYESNO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 20266¢95¢Trade

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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? — FAQ

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As of the latest update, "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 6% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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