FPM

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Fed Decision in July?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

24h volume

$715K

Total volume

$10.8M

Resolves

Jul 29, 2026

Live odds

OutcomeYESNO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting93¢8¢Trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting4¢96¢Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting3¢97¢Trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting1¢99¢Trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting0¢100¢Trade

Odds from Polymarket's public API, cached 5 minutes. Refresh for the latest.

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Kalshi: USD, CFTC-regulated, available in Florida. Polymarket: USDC, deeper liquidity on this kind of market.

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Fed Decision in July? — FAQ

Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.

As of the latest update, "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?" is trading at 93% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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