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Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

On October 9, Israel and Hamas signed a deal implementing a ceasefire: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-hamas-agree-gaza-ceasefire-return-hostages-2025-10-09/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

24h volume

$20

Total volume

$4.1M

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

OutcomeYESNO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 3149¢52¢Trade
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 300¢100¢Trade

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Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? — FAQ

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As of the latest update, "Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?" is trading at 49% YES on Polymarket. Odds move continuously — see the live table above.

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