4 min read
Kalshi crypto markets

Last updated · fact-checked against live Kalshi and Polymarket data
Quick answer
Key takeaways
- › Kalshi lists BTC and ETH price-range contracts.
- › ETF approval and major-upgrade event contracts also available.
- › Settles in USD to a reference price source.
- › Useful as a defined-risk hedge for spot crypto holdings.
- › Polymarket usually deeper on long-tail crypto markets.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Market types
- BTC price ranges: "Bitcoin above $X on date Y" yes/no contracts.
- ETH price ranges: same format for Ethereum.
- ETF events: approval probabilities for pending crypto ETFs.
- Network milestones: upgrade ship dates, hash rate thresholds.
Hedge example
Hold $10,000 in BTC. Buy YES on "BTC closes below $90k by Dec 31" at $0.20 — costs $2,000 for $10,000 payout if BTC tanks. Defined-risk downside protection, regulated, no margin call.
Welcome offer · Kalshi
Trade $25 and get $25
New users: open a Kalshi account, trade $25 in event contracts with the code, and get $25 back.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Play responsibly
Prediction markets are real-money trading and you can lose your full stake. We recommend 21+. If trading stops feeling fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER or text 988.
Reviewed by Catie Di Stefano. Every guide follows our editorial standards & review methodology. Affiliate links are disclosed under our affiliate disclosure.