FPM

4 min read

Kalshi crypto markets

Catie Di Stefano, Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Reviewed by
Catie Di StefanoFounder & Editor-in-Chief

Last updated · fact-checked against live Kalshi and Polymarket data

CFTC-regulated event contracts on Bitcoin, Ethereum, ETF approvals, and crypto adoption milestones. Trade your view in USD, no wallet, no gas.

Quick answer

Kalshi lists CFTC-regulated contracts on Bitcoin and Ethereum price levels, settling in USD without you ever holding crypto. Polymarket's crypto books are larger but settle in USD in the U.S. app.

Key takeaways

  • Kalshi lists BTC and ETH price-range contracts.
  • ETF approval and major-upgrade event contracts also available.
  • Settles in USD to a reference price source.
  • Useful as a defined-risk hedge for spot crypto holdings.
  • Polymarket usually deeper on long-tail crypto markets.

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Market types

  • BTC price ranges: "Bitcoin above $X on date Y" yes/no contracts.
  • ETH price ranges: same format for Ethereum.
  • ETF events: approval probabilities for pending crypto ETFs.
  • Network milestones: upgrade ship dates, hash rate thresholds.

Hedge example

Hold $10,000 in BTC. Buy YES on "BTC closes below $90k by Dec 31" at $0.20 — costs $2,000 for $10,000 payout if BTC tanks. Defined-risk downside protection, regulated, no margin call.

Welcome offer · Kalshi

Trade $25 and get $25

New users: open a Kalshi account, trade $25 in event contracts with the code, and get $25 back.

FLPREDICTSClaim the $25 bonusCFTC-regulated exchange · web and mobile

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Kalshi: trade $25 and get $25 with code FLPREDICTS

Play responsibly

Prediction markets are real-money trading and you can lose your full stake. We recommend 21+. If trading stops feeling fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER or text 988.

Reviewed by Catie Di Stefano. Every guide follows our editorial standards & review methodology. Affiliate links are disclosed under our affiliate disclosure.

Sources

Related reading

Kalshi crypto — FAQ

Short, direct answers — the stuff Florida players actually ask.

Yes. Kalshi lists CFTC-approved BTC and ETH price-range contracts (e.g., 'Bitcoin closes above $X by date Y'), plus events like Bitcoin ETF approvals and major upgrade dates.

Deposit $10, get $50 — Polymarket US