Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Florida's governor race on 3 November is Republican Byron Donalds against Democrat David Jolly. Ron DeSantis is term-limited. The most recent independent poll, Mason-Dixon for NBC6/Telemundo (28 Sep to 1 Oct), had Donalds at 48% and Jolly at 41%, with 10% undecided. Election markets on Kalshi and Polymarket US let Floridians trade the winner. Early voting runs at least 24 to 31 October in every county.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Last checked October 21, 2026
Where the race stands
Both men won their party primaries on 18 August. Since then, public polls have mostly shown Donalds ahead:
Poll
Dates
Donalds
Jolly
Mason-Dixon for NBC6/Telemundo, 625 registered voters
28 Sep to 1 Oct 2026
48%
41%
Stetson University
14 to 21 Sep 2026
51%
39%
A poll is a snapshot, not a forecast. Undecided voters and turnout can move a race in the last two weeks.
What the markets cover
Winner of the governor's race: a yes/no contract on each candidate, or on the winning party.
Margin markets, where an app lists them.
Prices move every day, so we don't type them here. Check the live price in each app before you trade.
Key dates for Florida voters
Date
What happens
22 October, 5 p.m.
Last day to request a mail ballot from your county Supervisor of Elections
24 to 31 October
Early voting in every county (some counties add days, from as early as 19 October)
3 November
Election Day: polls open 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. local time. Mail ballots must arrive by 7 p.m.
Check your own county's early-voting sites and hours with your Supervisor of Elections.
These apps are available to eligible Florida residents (status re-checked 16 October 2026). The platforms' minimum age is 18; we recommend 21+. Trading involves risk; you can lose what you put in.
How a governor contract settles
A "Yes" contract on the winner pays $1 once the market's settlement source confirms the result; the other side pays $0. Florida usually reports most results on election night, but read each market's rules: some wait for certification.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
