Miami Dolphins prediction market 2026
Last updated September 29, 2026 · record and schedule checked against NFL.com on September 29, 2026
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An 0-3 start has changed the Dolphins' market from a playoff question into a week-to-week one. Here's where Miami stands, what's next on the schedule, and how to trade it from Florida on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Quick answer
The Dolphins are 0-3 after Week 3 of the 2026 season, following a 24-10 loss at Kansas City, so their playoff and AFC East contracts are now long shots. Next up: at Minnesota on October 4 and Cincinnati at home on October 11. Kalshi and Polymarket US list every game plus season-long contracts; live prices are on the platforms.
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Last checked October 21, 2026
Key takeaways
- › Dolphins: 0-3 after Week 3 (24-10 loss at Kansas City).
- › Next: at Vikings (Oct. 4), vs Bengals (Oct. 11), bye in Week 6.
- › Very few teams that start 0-3 make the playoffs, which season-long prices now reflect.
- › Weekly game contracts carry most of the Miami volume now.
- › Kalshi (USD, CFTC-regulated) and Polymarket US (USD) are both open to eligible Florida users.
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Where the season stands
Three games in, Miami is 0-3 after a 24-10 loss at Kansas City. The schedule gets no easier in the short term: at Minnesota on October 4 and Cincinnati at home on October 11, then the Week 6 bye. Season-long contracts now depend on a quick turnaround, so most traders are focused on the weekly game markets.
The rest of 2026
The AFC East has been Buffalo's division in recent years, and an 0-3 start leaves Miami chasing the wild card rather than the title. The markets that still carry real two-way action are weekly games and the regular-season win total; the playoff contract is a long shot until the Dolphins string wins together.
The Dolphins markets that matter now
- Weekly game winners and totals: most of the Miami volume after an 0-3 start.
- Regular-season wins over/under: the line has moved down with each loss; check the current number on the platform.
- Playoff YES/NO: a long shot now; small positions only.
Kalshi vs Polymarket for Dolphins
Kalshi wins on regulatory clarity for eligible Florida users — CFTC-regulated, USD in and out, a profit-and-loss statement at year-end. Polymarket wins on liquidity: tighter spreads and deeper size on season-long Dolphins futures. Most Florida traders use Kalshi as their base and Polymarket for size on specific candidates.
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Sources
Related reading
- › NFL prediction markets 2026
- › Buccaneers 2026 odds & NFC South guide
- › How to trade NFL on Polymarket
- › Super Bowl LXI odds on Polymarket
- › Florida sports market hub
Frequently asked questions
How are the Dolphins doing in 2026?
Miami is 0-3 after Week 3, most recently losing 24-10 at Kansas City.
Can the Dolphins still make the playoffs?
It's possible but historically rare after an 0-3 start. The season-long playoff contract prices that in; read the current price on Kalshi or Polymarket.
What are the next Dolphins games?
At Minnesota on October 4 and home against Cincinnati on October 11. Miami's bye is Week 6.
Can I trade Dolphins markets from Florida?
Yes. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and open to eligible Florida users; Polymarket US is available through its app. Both trade in US dollars.
What Dolphins markets can I trade?
Weekly game winners, spreads and totals, plus season-long playoff, AFC East, conference and Super Bowl LXI contracts.
21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms
New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk.