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Florida college football prediction markets
Last updated · fact-checked against live Kalshi and Polymarket data
Quick answer
Key takeaways
- › Miami and FSU lead the state's CFP futures in mid-summer 2026.
- › Florida is a longer shot but has SEC upside if the QB1 develops.
- › Polymarket has deepest CFP and national title liquidity.
- › Kalshi runs USD-regulated conference-winner and playoff YES/NO.
- › Season opens: last weekend of August 2026 — market volume peaks in November.
Live Florida CFB markets
NFL 2026 kickoff countdown
22d 18h to NFL Week 1
Dolphins · top market
polymarketWill Brandon Aiyuk play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?
Heat · top market
polymarketWill the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
Florida teams · top YES odds
- Jacksonville Jaguars50%
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers42%
- Miami Dolphins20%
Kalshi
No open markets on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
3¢ 0$1,233,966Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
1¢ 0$1,237,710Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
1¢ 0$3,897,202Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
1¢ 0$96,910Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
6¢ 0$39,653Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
50¢ 0$1,112Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
5¢ 0$3,147Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
42¢ 0$278Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?
1¢ 0$434,652Will Maxx Crosby play for Miami Dolphins next?
1¢ 0$3,992Will Maxx Crosby play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers next?
1¢ 0$69,658Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Jacksonville Jaguars in 2026-27?
1¢ 0$291Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?
20¢ 0$264Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2026-27?
25¢ 0$301Will Miami Dolphins win the 2026 AFC East
3¢ 0$963Will Miami Dolphins finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns?
1¢ 0Will Jacksonville Jaguars finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns?
1¢ 0Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns?
2¢ 0Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
3¢ 0$688,429Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?
31¢ 0$4,011
Miami Hurricanes (ACC)
The Canes enter Year 3 under Mario Cristobal with the most stable roster in the state. The market prices Miami as an ACC dark horse — realistic playoff path if they win the division and avoid a bad loss. Polymarket has the deepest ACC-winner liquidity; Kalshi has the CFP YES/NO in USD.
Florida State Seminoles (ACC)
After a brutal 2024 and a rebuilding 2025, FSU is priced as a bounce-back candidate. Markets like the schedule and the returning offensive line. Watch for Miami-FSU head-to-head markets to spike in early November.
Florida Gators (SEC)
The Gators are the state's longest CFP shot — the SEC is brutal (Georgia, Alabama, Texas, LSU all in the top 15). The realistic Florida trade is over/under regular-season wins and the SEC championship YES market at very long odds.
How to trade Florida CFB
- Preseason futures: best entry is late July, before fall camp injury news.
- In-season swings: the CFP top-25 poll releases early November — front-run it.
- Rivalry weeks: Miami-FSU (Nov) and any Gators SEC game move markets 5–10 points.
- Platform mix: Kalshi for CFP YES/NO in USD, Polymarket for national title and conference odds.
Start trading in 2 minutes
Both platforms are free to sign up. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated USD. Polymarket settles in USDC.
Play responsibly
Prediction markets are real-money trading and you can lose your full stake. We recommend 21+. If trading stops feeling fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER or text 988.
Reviewed by Catie Di Stefano. Every guide follows our editorial standards & review methodology. Affiliate links are disclosed under our affiliate disclosure.