Florida college football prediction markets

Four weeks in, two Florida programs are unbeaten and ranked in the top 10. Here's where the Hurricanes, Gators and Seminoles stand, and how to trade their College Football Playoff and conference markets on Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Miami Hurricanes (ACC)

Miami is 4-0 (2-0 ACC) and No. 4 in the AP poll as of September 27, 2026, its best ranking of the season, with one first-place vote. That makes the Canes the state's strongest College Football Playoff contract so far. Kalshi and Polymarket US list the CFP berth, ACC title and national championship contracts in US dollars.

Florida State Seminoles (ACC)

Florida State is 2-2 (0-1 ACC) and unranked. The Seminoles' playoff contract has faded, but the in-state games against Miami and Florida still draw heavy volume in their game weeks.

Florida Gators (SEC)

Florida is 4-0 (2-0 SEC) and rose 13 spots to No. 8 in the AP poll after a 52-28 win over then-No. 4 Ole Miss in Gainesville. The Gators' CFP and SEC title contracts have been the biggest movers among Florida teams this month.

How to trade Florida CFB

1. Preseason futures: best entry is late July, before fall camp injury news.
2. In-season swings: the CFP top-25 poll releases early November — front-run it.
3. Rivalry weeks: Miami-FSU (Nov) and any Gators SEC game move markets 5–10 points.
4. Platform mix: Kalshi for CFP YES/NO in USD, Polymarket for national title and conference odds.

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Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Sources

• › NFL — official schedule
• › CFTC — Designated Contract Markets (regulated exchanges)
• › Polymarket Learn — how markets and resolution work (opens in a new tab)
• › U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)

Related reading

• › Miami Dolphins prediction market 2026
• › Super Bowl LXI odds guide
• › Kalshi vs Polymarket comparison
• › Florida sports market hub

Frequently asked questions

How are Miami, Florida and Florida State doing in 2026?

As of September 27, 2026: Miami is 4-0 and ranked No. 4 in the AP poll, Florida is 4-0 and ranked No. 8, and Florida State is 2-2.

Which Florida college football teams have prediction markets?

The Gators, Seminoles and Hurricanes all have College Football Playoff, conference and national title contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket during the season, plus weekly game markets.

Can I trade college football markets from Florida?

Yes. Kalshi lists CFTC-regulated contracts in USD and Polymarket US lists them in its app, both for eligible Florida users.

When do college football futures move most?

After big upsets like Florida's win over Ole Miss, when the first CFP rankings come out in November, and on selection day in early December.

Can I trade the in-state rivalry games?

Yes. Game markets for Florida-Florida State and Miami-Florida State open in the week before kickoff and are among the most-traded in the state.